Plan B Stock To Flow Model
The s2f model for bitcoin was introduced in 2019 via a medium article written by plan b, a popular anonymous dutch investor, and twitter personality. Formulation of the s2f model.


Instead, the most significant supply is kept as a monetary hedge hence a high ratio.



Plan b stock to flow model. The stock to flow model for bitcoin created by planb takes into consideration how long time it is necessary for the current production rate of bitcoin to reach the stock. That was somewhat wrong since plan b said it would hit that price point in 2020 or 2021. Plan b & the stock to flow model.
For store of value (sov) commodities like gold, platinum, or silver, a high ratio indicates that they are mostly not consumed in industrial applications. The graph includes the prices of btc from december 2009 to 2025. I have updated the article to reflect that.
In basic terms, the model quantifies the commodity’s (bitcoin) scarcity and then divides it by yearly issuance (the flow). Plan b has amassed a large following due to the accuracy of the s2f and the s2fx, a variation of the s2f, which also takes into account gold and silver’s performance to reach a price estimation for. The latest tweets from @100trillionusd
Daily updating model of bitcoin stock to flow chart from plan b @100trillion article ‘modeling bitcoin's value with scarcity’. In the early 2019 there was an article written about bitcoin stock to flow model (link below) with matematical model used to calculate model price during the time: He has a legal and quantitative finance background and has always been fascinated by modeling risk & return.
Bitcoin stock to flow (s2f) live data chart model. Basically, it takes into account how long miners would need to create as many bitcoin as there are now in existence. The analyst is bullish on bitcoin and tweeted earlier on wednesday to.
What is the stock to flow model? Plan b used the original stock to flow model and added the element of block rewards halving every four years in bitcoin, amongst other factors, to theorize future prices. Using the stock to flow model we’ve just looked at, a user under the pseudonym ”plan b” created the stock to flow model for bitcoin, announcing his model on twitter in 2019.
But the author still sees no reason to panic. Planb@100trillionusd is a former institutional investor with 25 years of experiences in financial markets. The model uses a variety of data points related to bitcoin’s halving algorithm and other factors to predict future price movements.








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